Financial modeling
Ebrahim Mirmohammadi; Mehdi Madanchi Zaj; Hossein Panahian; Hossein Jabbary
Abstract
Purpose: Risk parity is one of the stock portfolio selection models that has received a lot of attention since the US national financial crisis in 2008. The philosophy of this model is to allocate an equal amount of portfolio risk between the assets. In the present study, the portfolio selection model ...
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Purpose: Risk parity is one of the stock portfolio selection models that has received a lot of attention since the US national financial crisis in 2008. The philosophy of this model is to allocate an equal amount of portfolio risk between the assets. In the present study, the portfolio selection model is introduced which is a combination of risk parity portfolio and factor analysis with the Markov regime-switching framework.Methodology: The portfolio selection model is introduced which is a combination of risk parity portfolio and factor analysis with the Marko. Regime-switching framework approach. Markov regime switching helps to make the covariance matrix in the objective function of the risk equality model dependent on the state variable and increase the stability of the portfolio. At the beginning of each investment period, the state variable is determined and the asset covariance matrix is calculated based on it and used in the risk equality modelFindings: The research portfolio consisting of 8 industries from the Tehran Stock Exchange in the period 1390 to 1399 shows that this portfolio has a higher sharp ratio than the mean-variance and equally weighted portfolios in market declines, it is more durable and produces less damage.Originality/Value: The innovation and importance of research is robustness of risk parity portfolio by considering the covariance matrix parameter with factor analysis in Markov regime-switching framework. Thus, it is expected that in different market situations, expectations from the stock portfolio will be more consistent with reality and less losses will be produced in market declines.